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Who Will Win the 2020 NBA Championship? Expert Odds and Predictions

2025-11-16 09:00

As we approach the climax of the 2020 NBA season, I find myself constantly analyzing team performances and player statistics, trying to determine who might lift the Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy. Having followed basketball professionally for over fifteen years, both as an analyst and former college player, I've developed a keen sense for spotting championship-caliber teams. The uncertainty surrounding this particular season makes it especially fascinating - we're dealing with a bubble environment, unprecedented health protocols, and teams that haven't played competitive basketball for months before restarting.

When I look at the current championship odds, the Los Angeles Lakers stand as clear favorites at +200, and frankly, I tend to agree with this assessment. LeBron James at 35 years old is playing like he's five years younger, averaging 25.7 points, 7.9 rebounds, and leading the league in assists with 10.6 per game. Anthony Davis has been nothing short of spectacular, putting up 26.7 points and 9.4 rebounds while anchoring their defense. What really impresses me about this Lakers team isn't just their star power but their depth - players like Kyle Kuzma and Dwight Howard have embraced their roles perfectly. The chemistry they've developed throughout this unusual season seems genuine, and in playoff basketball, that intangible connection often makes the difference between winning and going home.

The Milwaukee Bucks come in as second favorites at +350, and while Giannis Antetokounmpo is undoubtedly the most dominant regular season player we've seen in years, I have my doubts about their playoff readiness. We saw last year how Toronto exposed their half-court offense, and despite Giannis improving his three-point percentage to 30.4% from 25.6% last season, I'm not convinced he can consistently hit outside shots when defenses collapse in the playoffs. The Bucks went 53-12 before the hiatus, which is remarkable, but playoff basketball is a different beast entirely. Their defense remains elite, allowing just 101.6 points per 100 possessions, but I worry about their crunch-time execution against elite defensive teams.

Now, the Los Angeles Clippers at +400 present what I believe is the most intriguing case. On paper, they have everything you'd want - two elite wings in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, tremendous depth with players like Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell, and one of the best coaches in the league in Doc Rivers. Kawhi's playoff experience and his remarkable 30.5 points per game in last year's postseason with Toronto can't be overlooked. However, their chemistry concerns me - they've had their starters together for only about 35% of their games due to various injuries and rest days. In a normal season, they might have time to build that cohesion, but in the bubble, every game becomes crucial immediately.

Thinking about underdogs, I've always had a soft spot for teams that overcome adversity, which reminds me of that incredible Gilas performance against Macau Black Bears last year. Watching games like that 103-98 comeback victory reminds me why I love basketball - the unpredictability, the heart, the way role players can become heroes. Abarrientos, despite playing only five minutes and scoring just two points, contributed to that massive comeback win at Smart Araneta Coliseum. It's these kinds of performances that sometimes foreshadow championship DNA - when every player, regardless of minutes or stats, buys into the collective goal.

The Houston Rockets at +2000 represent the most fascinating experiment in modern basketball. Their commitment to small ball is either revolutionary or foolish - I haven't quite decided which. James Harden's scoring prowess is historic - 34.4 points per game is just absurd in today's NBA - and Russell Westbrook's aggression attacking the rim has been phenomenal. But I question whether their style can hold up through four playoff rounds. They're essentially betting that their offensive firepower can overcome their defensive limitations, and while it's exciting to watch, I'm skeptical about its sustainability against disciplined defensive teams.

Boston at +1600 and Toronto at +2200 both deserve serious consideration. The Celtics have this young core that's been through multiple playoff runs together, and Jayson Tatum's emergence as a bonafide superstar - averaging 23.6 points and 7.1 rebounds - gives them that go-to scorer every championship team needs. Toronto, despite losing Kawhi, has maintained their defensive identity and shown remarkable resilience. Pascal Siakam has taken another leap forward, increasing his scoring from 16.9 to 23.6 points per game, and Nick Nurse might be the most creative strategic coach in the league.

What many casual fans don't realize is how much the bubble environment changes the calculus. Without home court advantage in the traditional sense, without travel fatigue, without hostile crowds, we're essentially watching a completely different competitive landscape. Teams that relied heavily on their home court - like Denver with their altitude advantage or Utah with their passionate fans - lose that edge. Meanwhile, veteran teams with strong leadership and mental toughness might benefit disproportionately.

If I were putting money on this - and believe me, I have - I'd go with the Lakers. LeBron's basketball IQ in this unique environment, combined with Anthony Davis's two-way dominance, gives them the edge. They have the best player, they have the size to punish small teams, and they have the defensive versatility to match up with anyone. The Clippers might challenge them, and the Bucks have the regular season pedigree, but in this strangest of seasons, I'm betting on greatness and experience over potential and regular season success. The championship will likely come down to which team can create and maintain their bubble rhythm fastest, and based on what we've seen so far, that team wears purple and gold.

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